Leonid Ivashov, a retired COLONEL-GENERAL and political analyst, urged the two sides, US & North Korea to reach a diplomatic solution to the tensions, which have been ramped up in recent days by both the president and the dictator.
Mr Ivashov, in an interview with Russia Today, said Pyongyang’s threats of bombing the US territory of Guam was “a bluff”, and that the US could easily blast any North Korean missiles out of the sky even if it did attack.
And he called for both Russia and China to intervene now and impose further sanctions on North Korea, in a bid to take the conflict “out of the military perspective”.
Discussing the prospect of war between North Korea and the US, Mr Ivashov said: “It’s a total mismatch.
“The US is a superpower, while North Korea is a small regional player. North Korea can’t compete with America on any level.”
The US’ superior technology meant it could locate all of Kim’s weapons factories and missile sites, Mr Ivashov said, and “eliminate everything that North Korea created in terms of medium-range and long-range missiles and nuclear production”.
Neither would North Korea’s anti-missile defenses be any match for the American B-1 bombers, he added.
The former military leader, who today is head of the Academy of Geopolitical Problems, admitted North Korea might be able to inflict “some damage” on the US, but this would pale in comparison to the havoc wreaked by America’s military might.
On North Korean threats towards Guam, Mr Ivashov said: “To some extent, it’s a bluff on the part of North Korea; an attempt to save face and avert the American blow through international rhetoric.”
In this video, Defense Updates breaks down Leonid Ivashov statements and analyses why North Korea genuinely has no chance against US?
Lets get started.
B2 SPIRIT BOMBER
B-2 Sprit is America’s most potent bomber because of its stealth characteristics. It has a maximum speed of Mach 0.95 and range of 6,900 miles or 11,000 km.
The KN-06 is a long-range SAM that bears some resemblance to the Russian S-300 and Chinese FT-2000 is the most capable North Korean air defense system.
But even this system is not capable of detecting the stealthy B1 Spirit.
AMERICAN SATELLITES INTELLIGENCE & NACENT MISSILE PROGRAM
It is agreed by most experts that the recently tested HWASONG-14 could reach many US cities, marking a significant milestone.
But North Korea’s missile program has still a long way to go
US also has solid intelligence on other military site of North Korea like the airfields through satellite imagery and will be able to target them with multitude of options at moments notice.
MISSILE DEFENSE SYSTEMS
A missile launched by North Korea will have to deal with multiple missile defense systems
1. The Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense System is a United States DOD (Department of Defense) Missile Defense Agency program developed to provide missile defense against short to intermediate-range ballistic missiles.
2. The Patriot Advanced Capability-3 (PAC-3) designed by US is a significant upgrade to the original system, and dedicated almost entirely to the anti-ballistic missile mission.
3. THAAD is designed to shoot down short, medium, and intermediate range ballistic missiles in their terminal phase.
4. US mainland is also protected by Ground-Based Midcourse Defense (GMD).
North Korean navy has about 810 vessels, which in theory could seem a threat but in practice is no more than nuisance.
North Korean navy is considered a brown water navy and operates mainly within the 50 km exclusion zone.
On paper the North Korean Air force possesses more than 500 combat capable aircrafts, but almost all of them are outdated and even includes Chinese derivatives of very old fighters like Mig 17 and Mig 19.
North Korea has more than 1.2 million active soldiers, and a further 7.7 million in reserve, making its ground force one of the largest in the world.
But the troops are mostly ill equipped with outdated weapons of Soviet era.
The rest of Pyongyang’s armored corps is in a similar predicament, making them distinctly inferior to U.S. and South Korean forces.
Sustaining a war effort requires massive reserves not only in men, but also in material.
Not only will the relatively poor inventory of ammunition will dwindle down in few weeks but also will the food supply.
With these two basic items in short supply, the North Korean forces will not be able to continue fighting for long periods.
It is also foreseen by many experts that as the war turns against North Korea, many will start deserting the repressive regime, hastening the process of capitulation.
North Korea is cut off from the world and has no allies who will help them.